This week's post includes my projections for the entire 1st Round. The 2 biggest risers from last week's mock are QB Brady Quinn (#7 to #2) and DE Adam Carriker (not listed to #11). Next week I'll have my final mock draft, covering rounds 1 and 2. Look for that Friday night on the eve of the draft (hopefully the Raiders will have their guy signed by then).
ROUND 1
1.

The Raiders are still debating whether they want Russell or stud WR Calvin Johnson. Unless they acquire a veteran QB, the pick is Russell.
2.

The Lions should get plenty of calls from teams wanting to move up, but if they stay, then they should make Quinn their franchise QB.
3.

The Browns need a player who can help them win now. With both QB's off the board, the choice will be between Peterson and Joe Thomas.
4.

The Bucs may not be able to sit at #4 and wait for Johnson. They'll be holding their breath when the commissioner reads off Oakland's pick.
5.

The Cards will also be crossing their fingers hoping that Thomas is still on the board. If he's gone, then look for them to trade down.
6.

The Redskins need to improve their pass rush, but they may still trade this pick to Chicago for LB Lance Briggs.
7.

The Vikings are in position to select the best available player. LaRon Landry will provide an immediate impact on their defense.
8.

The Falcons covet FS LaRon Landry, but the 19 year old Okoye played for Petrino in college and has a huge upside.
9.

The Dolphins can go in any direction with this pick. They'll start by trying to piece together a stable offensive line.
10.

The Texans also need a LT and may consider trading down if Brown is off the board. Nelson would provide a major upgrade at FS.
11.

The 49ers will probably consider DT Alan Branch, but will pass because he didn't dominate in college the way a guy his size should.
12.

The Bills need help at MLB, CB, and RB. Willis should start immediately and become an early favorite for NFL Defensive R.O.Y.
13.

The Rams took CB Tye Hill last year, and must continue to build the defense. They will take the best available defensive lineman.
14.

The Panthers took RB DeAngelo Williams last year, and will add another offensive weapon, a TE that can stretch the field.
15.

The Steelers are transitioning from the 3-4 defense to a Tampa 2 scheme. Timmons has the ability play outside in either scheme.
16.

The Packers need a RB, first and foremost. They can address their needs for a big, physical WR and a playmaking TE in later rounds.
17.

The Jaguars would love to see Reggie Nelson still on the board, but with him gone they go after the best value at DE or CB.
18.

The Bengals drafted a CB in the 1st Rd last year, but Tory James is gone and it appears Deltha O'Neal has a lost a step.
19.

The Titans need to replace Pacman Jones not only at CB, but in the return game as well. Ted Ginn Jr. more than satisfies the latter.
20.

The Giants are very thin at CB and LB, but they must also protect their investment (Eli Manning) better.
21.

The Broncos need an explosive pass rusher to fully compliment their outstanding tandem at CB (Champ Bailey and Dre Bly).
22.

The Cowboys seemed to have address their need at FS by signing Ken Hamlin, but they must continue to upgrade the secondary.
23.

The Chiefs liked Tamba Hali last year and drafted him higher than most people expected. I see a similar situation with Jarrett.
24.

The Patriots have to be concerned with the recent injuries that have plagued SS Rodney Harrison.
25.

The Jets need a pass-rushing OLB to help complete their transition into to the 3-4 defense used by Coach Mangini.
26.

The Eagles added WR's Kevin Curtis and Bethel Johnson, so I think they'll draft a DB.
27.

The Saints defense overachieved last season, but they were extremely vulnerable at CB, and still are.
28.

The Patriots are the only team with two first round picks, and will likely use them to add depth to their aging defense.
29.

The Ravens need lots of help along the offensive line, but who better to anchor that line than Kalil?
30.

The Chargers need a guy that can stretch the field and open things up for Tomlinson and TE Antonio Gates.
31.

The Bears are still negotiating trades for disgruntled LB Lance Briggs, so it's difficult to project their pick. At #31, I like Ben Grubbs.
32.

The Colts replaced Edgerrin James through the draft last season by selecting Joseph Addai. Now they'll look to replace LB Cato June.
3 comments:
Someone on ESPN has Steve Smith going in the first round to the Bears. How likely is that?
I can see the Bears taking Smith, but with the uncertainty of Lance Briggs, it's hard to say. USC can have as many as 3 go in the 1st Round (Jarrett, Kalil, and Smith) or maybe none at all, we'll find out next week.
How many UCLgay Bruins will be going in the first 2 rounds?
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